Dr. Syama Prasad Mookerjee Research Foundation

Achieving Viksit Bharat Requires an Efficient Supply Chain: A Statistical and Strategic Perspective

India’s aspiration to achieve “Viksit Bharat”—a developed and self-reliant nation—hinges on multiple economic and social advancements. Among these, the creation of an efficient, interactive, and integrated supply chain ecosystem stands as a cornerstone for progress. A robust supply chain infrastructure is essential not only for improving productivity across sectors but also for enhancing economic resilience and ensuring equitable access to resources.

India stands at the cusp of becoming a global leader in supply chain management, propelled by its growing economic might and the government’s proactive policies. However, this potential can only be realized through the holistic optimization of supply chains across sectors and ministries, transcending the current fragmented approach. By integrating initiatives like PM Gati Shakti and the National Logistics Policy into a robust hub-and-spoke model, India can streamline its supply chain network and drive unparalleled efficiency.

The Role of Supply Chains in Viksit Bharat

An efficient supply chain is the backbone of economic development. It ensures the smooth movement of goods, services, and information, fostering industrial growth, reducing costs, and enhancing global competitiveness. For India to transition into a developed nation, it must prioritize the integration and interaction of supply chains across key sectors, including:

  1. Agriculture: Agriculture contributes nearly 18% to India’s GDP but suffers from inefficiencies such as post-harvest losses, estimated at ₹92,651 crore annually. By integrating digital tools for real-time data sharing and creating farm-to-market connectivity, India can reduce these losses and ensure better income for farmers.
  2. Manufacturing: The “Make in India” initiative aims to boost manufacturing’s contribution to 25% of GDP. To achieve this, supply chains must seamlessly integrate raw material procurement, production, and distribution through automation and data-driven insights.
  3. Healthcare: The COVID-19 pandemic underscored the importance of resilient healthcare supply chains. India must develop a streamlined system for manufacturing and distributing essential medical supplies, ensuring availability during emergencies.
  4. Energy: Sectors like coal, oil, and renewables require optimized supply chains to address fluctuating demand and ensure uninterrupted supply, particularly as India transitions to cleaner energy sources.
  5. Semiconductor Chip:India has been chosen as Vice Chair of the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework’s Supply Chain Council and is a key partner in the QUAD Semiconductor Supply Chain Initiative

India’s Supply Chain Ecosystem: Current Challenges and Opportunities

India’s logistics market is projected to reach $385 billion by 2025, growing at a CAGR of 10-12%, according to the Economic Survey of 2022-23. Despite this promising growth, inefficiencies persist. Logistics costs in India account for 14-16% of GDP, significantly higher than the global average of 8-10%. High costs stem from fragmented supply chains, inadequate infrastructure, and suboptimal coordination among various sectors. Insufficient warehousing, cold storage, and transportation facilities hinder smooth operations.

Agriculture, which contributes nearly 18% to India’s GDP and employs over 40% of its workforce, is a case in point. Post-harvest losses in India are estimated at ₹92,651 crore annually, according to a Ministry of Food Processing Industries report. These losses underscore the critical need for end-to-end supply chain optimization—from farm to fork—encompassing storage, transportation, and distribution. Many sectors still rely on manual processes, limiting real-time data sharing and decision-making.

Gaps in Current Initiatives

While PM Gati Shakti and the National Logistics Policy are commendable, they primarily focus on transportation and multi-modal connectivity. Supply chain optimization, however, encompasses much more:

  1. Design and Planning: Mapping the flow of goods and identifying bottlenecks.
  2. Execution and Control: Ensuring timely delivery and adherence to quality standards.
  3. Synchronization of Supply and Demand: Predictive analytics to match production with consumption.
  4. Performance Measurement: Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to evaluate efficiency and effectiveness.
  5. Order Fulfillment: Streamlining processes from the point of origin to consumption.

These elements are currently underdeveloped in India’s policy framework, leaving significant room for improvement.

The Need for Interactive and Integrated Supply Chains

To overcome these challenges, India needs an ecosystem where supply chains are not only efficient but also interactive and integrated. This involves:

  1. End-to-End Digitization: Leveraging technologies such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), Internet of Things (IoT), and Blockchain for real-time monitoring, predictive analytics, and transparency.
  2. Collaboration Across Sectors: A hub-and-spoke model can centralize supply chain operations while ensuring sector-specific optimization. For instance, integrating agriculture supply chains with food processing industries can reduce waste and improve value addition.
  3. Policy Alignment: Initiatives like PM Gati Shakti and the National Logistics Policy should expand their focus to include supply chain design, planning, and execution, fostering a holistic approach.
  4. Skill Development: Training professionals in modern supply chain practices will be critical for sustaining efficiency and innovation.

The Case for a Hub-and-Spoke Model

India’s current supply chain ecosystem operates in silos, with ministries and sectors managing their supply chains independently. This approach results in duplication of efforts, inefficiencies, and increased costs. A hub-and-spoke model, on the other hand, can centralize supply chain management, enabling seamless coordination across sectors such as agriculture, food processing, coal mining, and fertilizers.

The hub would serve as a central command center, leveraging advanced technologies like Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML), and Internet of Things (IoT) for real-time monitoring, data analytics, and decision-making. Spokes would represent sectoral supply chains, feeding data into the hub for integrated planning and execution. Such a model could reduce overall logistics costs by 5-7% and increase GDP by 2-3%, according to estimates by the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII).

Global Benchmarks and Lessons for India

Countries like Germany and Japan have successfully implemented hub-and-spoke models in their supply chain ecosystems. Germany’s “Industrie 4.0” leverages automation and data exchange to integrate manufacturing with supply chain management. Japan’s lean manufacturing principles prioritize waste reduction and efficiency, contributing to its supply chain prowess. Adapting these practices to the Indian context, while leveraging the country’s unique strengths, can accelerate the journey towards Viksit Bharat.

Conclusion

India’s journey to becoming a supply chain management leader hinges on its ability to transition from isolated sectoral optimizations to an integrated hub-and-spoke model. The economic benefits are compelling: a reduction in logistics costs, enhanced global competitiveness, and sustainable growth across sectors. By addressing current gaps and leveraging its demographic and technological advantages, India can not only meet domestic needs but also emerge as a global supply chain hub.The time to act is now. With strategic vision and collaborative execution, India can redefine its supply chain narrative, propelling itself to the forefront of global logistics and trade.

Author

  • The author is a techno-functional lead consultant with the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, and holds an MS degree in Artificial Intelligence (AI) from the University of Chicago. He formerly worked for NITI Aayog, Cabinet Secretariat, and MP Lok Sabha. As a data scientist, he conducted research that was published in a peer-reviewed international publication in collaboration with the New York and California State Health Departments. Author can be contacted on LinkedIn or at [email protected]. Views expressed are personal

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(The views expressed are the author's own and do not necessarily reflect the position of the organisation)